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FRM一级
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A firm is concerned about potential increases in the federal funds rate and their impact on the S&P 500. For a 3-month forecast period, the firm’s economics team estimates the following: A 60% probability that the Federal Reserve will not raise the federal funds rate. A 32% probability that the return on the S&P 500 will be between -10% and +10%. A 38% chance that the return on the S&P 500 will be less than -10%. A 24% joint probability that the return on the S&P 500 will be greater than 10% and that the Federal Reserve will not raise the federal funds rate. Based on the estimates above, given that the Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate, what is the probability that the return on the S&P 500 is greater than 10%? A 10%. B 15%. C 20%. D 40%.
查看试题 已解决Reusing sets of random number draws across Monte Carlo experiments decreases the estimate variability across experiments by using the same set of random numbers for each simulation.这句话为什么对?
查看试题 已解决A control variate involves replacing a variable x (under simulation) that has known properties with a similar variable y that has unknown properties.这句话什么意思?
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