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614****46392023-11-04 19:40:24

When the economy is at the trough of the business cycle, equities perform well, and valuation ratios and earnings growth are expected to increase. The analyst could also use the Grinold- Kroner model to compute the required equity risk premium and increase the portfolio’s equity weights. At this stage, the yield curve is steep with high credit and term premiums. The expectation of rising interest rates means that bonds tend to underperform, and the analyst should reduce the portfolio’s bond allocation. 能不能解释一下这段话?equity表现好的时候为什么bond表现差

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Johnny2023-11-05 18:02:01

同学你好,当经济已经处于谷底时,之后的经济增速和估值倍数就预期会上涨,那么就会推荐在这个阶段买入股票,等于就是抄底了,之后经济复苏了股价就会上涨。但在这个阶段应该减持债券,因为等到经济复苏后利率会上升,所以之后债券价格就会下跌,那现在如果买了债券的话之后就会降价,产生capital loss

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