朱同学
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Johnny2023-08-13 11:32:17
Johnny同学你好，文中说了These sectors are depressed below their ten-year average levels. Every time that this has occurred in the past, these sectors have recovered to their mean in a short period of time. 现在这些行业低于十年均值，每当过去这些状况发生时就会迅速回归均值。这就犯了gambler´s fallacy，他把过去的现象预测未来了，高估了均值回归发生的概率。但其实过去和未来是独立的
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