张同学2020-02-15 09:19:49
张同学第十题的预期收益期望为19.7%，所以speculative的比重越大越好，这么做应该比答案简单点，对不对？
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Peter F2020-02-15 18:20:40
Peter F同学，你好：请问是哪个 reading 的 第 10 题的？
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reading7
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同学，你好：这是一道简答题，最后的结论是 Allocation 1 has a 90% chance of exceeding the aspirational level of $1,050,000, however, whereas Allocation 2 has only a 30% chance of exceeding it.为什么得出这个结论，需要过程的，过程如下，
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Given the expected returns for the riskless and speculative layers, Allocation 1 will result in the following amounts:
10% chance: (59% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (41% × $1,000,000) × (1 – 0.25) = $900,450
60% chance: (59% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (41% × $1,000,000) × (1.12) = $1,052,150
30% chance: (59% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (41% × $1,000,000) × (1.50) = $1,207,950.
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Given the expected returns for the riskless and speculative layers, Allocation 2 will result in the following amounts:
10% chance: (90% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (10% × $1,000,000) × (1 – 0.25) = $979,500
60% chance: (90% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (10% × $1,000,000) × (1.12) = $1,016,500
30% chance: (90% × $1,000,000) × 1.005 + (10% × $1,000,000) × (1.50) = $1,054,500
过程 + 结论 的回答才比较合适和完整。
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