Shing2022-06-14 01:56:46
why when policy rate > neutral rate is contractionary? I don't know what is the rationale behind.
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Jessica2022-06-14 09:30:17
同学你好
央行通常是通过对比政策利率与中性利率的大小关系来调节经济:
policy rate = real trend rate of economic growth + real inflation
Neutral interest rate = real trend rate of economic growth + inflation target
对比政策利率和中性利率,是为了对比当前的通胀和目标的通胀程度,从而达到能够控制通胀水平的目标。
若Policy rate > Neutral rate,表明当前的actual inflation rate > inflation target,即此时经济处于过热状态,则当前实行的应是紧缩的货币政策
同样,Policy rate < Neutral rate, 表明当前的actual inflation rate < inflation target,即此时经济处于紧缩状态,当前实行的应是扩张的货币政策
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